The group of experts sent by the OAS has submitted its report containing its recommendations to President Rene Preval Thursday, January 13, 2011.
The report's conclusions were already known a few days before January 12.
Among the OAS experts, there's Dr. Fritz Scheuren (1). He is a graduate statistician at the University of Chicago. It was the 100th President of the ASA (American Statistical Association). He is the author of books on elections and quality control.
The experts' report concludes that Michel Martelly is 2nd and 3rd Celestin.
The report explicitly recommends that the Jude Celestin has passed the second round, although the gap between him and Michel Martelly is reduced to 3225 votes in favor of Michael Martelly.
Preliminary results released by the PRC prior to the revision / correction proposed by the OAS gave Jude Celestine Michel Martelly second and third with a gap (largest) of 6845 votes in favor of Jude Celestin (December 7, 2011).
Given the seriousness and quality of work of experts from the OAS, the Préval government and the PRC have no choice but to accept and implement to the letter the recommendations of the OAS: second round Manigat - Martelly.
It remains to be seen if the second round will be organized under René Préval with the current PRC, even if the candidate is rejected out of power by the POC.
CHRA-Applied Mathematics has made a statistical analysis of the corrected results by the OAS for the first three candidates. We reach the same conclusion as the experts of the OAS and Dr. Scheuren in particular: we can not conclude that Celestin Martelly = (percentage of vote); Martelly is second after Mirlande Manigat and Celestin was third.
Jude Celestin must be removed from the second round.
Here is a link leading to our analysis. Please excuse the technical:
Haiti-checking the results of presidential 1st round 2010 by the OAS first Manigat, Martelly 2nd, 3rd Celestin.
Dr. Peter Montes
_______________________ (1) Dr. Fritz Scheuren / National Opinion Research Center (NORC), University of Chicago .
The report's conclusions were already known a few days before January 12.
Among the OAS experts, there's Dr. Fritz Scheuren (1). He is a graduate statistician at the University of Chicago. It was the 100th President of the ASA (American Statistical Association). He is the author of books on elections and quality control.
The experts' report concludes that Michel Martelly is 2nd and 3rd Celestin.
The report explicitly recommends that the Jude Celestin has passed the second round, although the gap between him and Michel Martelly is reduced to 3225 votes in favor of Michael Martelly.
Preliminary results released by the PRC prior to the revision / correction proposed by the OAS gave Jude Celestine Michel Martelly second and third with a gap (largest) of 6845 votes in favor of Jude Celestin (December 7, 2011).
Given the seriousness and quality of work of experts from the OAS, the Préval government and the PRC have no choice but to accept and implement to the letter the recommendations of the OAS: second round Manigat - Martelly.
It remains to be seen if the second round will be organized under René Préval with the current PRC, even if the candidate is rejected out of power by the POC.
CHRA-Applied Mathematics has made a statistical analysis of the corrected results by the OAS for the first three candidates. We reach the same conclusion as the experts of the OAS and Dr. Scheuren in particular: we can not conclude that Celestin Martelly = (percentage of vote); Martelly is second after Mirlande Manigat and Celestin was third.
Jude Celestin must be removed from the second round.
Here is a link leading to our analysis. Please excuse the technical:
Haiti-checking the results of presidential 1st round 2010 by the OAS first Manigat, Martelly 2nd, 3rd Celestin.
Dr. Peter Montes
_______________________ (1) Dr. Fritz Scheuren / National Opinion Research Center (NORC), University of Chicago .
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